Iraq and the upcoming visit

Iraq and the upcoming visit

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Haider Abadi  since has become a prime minister of Iraq in  August 2014, he tried – and trying-  to open up to the Arab countries in general and the Gulf in particular,  due to the  geographical convergence  , history and social composition. He understands the importance of good relations with the Arab Gulf states. Therefore, and in order to return to the warmth of these relationships ,  confidential conversations with some Arab countries were  conducted that  it reached to a stage of crystallization and political maturity until the time came to announce  it . According to information obtained by  the Rawabet Center for  the Research and Strategic Studies  that  Adel al-Jubeir, Saudi Arabia Foreign Minister and  Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, UAE foreign  minister    will  visit Iraq and meet with Iraqi officials, led by Haider Abadi, the Iraqi prime minister .There is also a secret and very limited meetings between Iraqi security forces and the security services of the governments of the Arab states noting that these meetings overseen  personally by Haider al-Abadi.

This  upcoming visit   by the two Arab Gulf ministers  comes   in the interests of the Iraqi – Gulf relations, for the Gulf side  , the visit aims to bring  Iraq  back to its Arab environment  and that does not leave it to the Iranian influence and that does not mean the return  to  the relation  of Iraqi – Gulf alliance  as it was in the course of what has been termed in the  first Gulf War , “the Iran-Iraq war in 1980 m -1988 m”, but rather is an attempt by the Arab Gulf states  not to let Iraq  to line up nor bias  entirely along with the Iranian regime. The Iraq aims of this visit to get Arab support in the face of Turkey  so with this visit of the two Arab ministers  to  send  a message to it that Iraq  has a  Gulf Arab  back  to support  his position in the context of the escalating crisis between Turkey and Iraq on the back of the Turkish military presence in the camp of  Baishqh of  Mosul. And the  Turkish insistence on participating in the battle of al-Mosul a gainst Daesh despite of   the fierce opposition from Iraq for this  participation . This visit is also aimed at the security aspect in activating Arab cooperation and coordination in the face of the phenomenon of terrorism  represented by the extremist organizations   and to promote economic cooperation between Iraq and the Gulf states.

Iraq lives after the occupation of Kuwait on August 2  1990 a case of the move away from its Arab environment, especially with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), and despite the change that took place in 2003 and toppled the government of the  Socialist Arab Baath Party, which ruled the country for more than 35 years, but  the relations  with the Arab  environment  are no longer as they were previously. Before that –  on the other party –  and  during the “Islamic revolution” in Iran in 1979, Iranian regime began  trying to copy the experience  by which it overthrew the Shah of Iran  and export it  to Iraq, but it  did not succeed, thus  the Iran-Iraq war was erupted , which lasted eight years. Iraq  lived a great confusion in the relationship, which moved away from the international community and the imposition of the embargo against it because of the invasion of the former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein of Kuwait, and charged with possession of weapons of mass destruction, but Iran did not  keep silent and continued in its attempts to infiltrate Iraq.

After the  fall of Saddam’s regime  in 9 of April  in 2003, the Iranian regime   pushed the Iraqi opposition, which was hosted by it , so it has the  biggest role in Iraq since that day and till now, at a time that the Iraq’s relations with the Arab countries were remained “shy”   despite the multiplicity of governments  but live its best  states with  Iran  .  and after that date  , a series of scientific seminars were held in Riyadh  and other Gulf cities, which looked at how to re-start the  relations of Gulf states  with Iraq  on a new basis, that would enhance the pillars of  regional security .

A summary of what has been reached in the discussions is that the Gulf relations with Iraq  will not be stable  based  on the  philosophy of  balances that resulted in two devastating wars in this region. It was emphasized by  the researchers on the principle that balances represents the lure to divide countries in the region rather than  to bring them togather. In contrast, there was a common vision  that emphasizes that the Gulf states ‘ relations with Iraq  can be restored   based on the principle of economic integration, and  active civil cooperation . And if this path is achieved , it would encircles the  controversial issues, and prevents it to be turned  into an explosive crises. These issues alone can be settled as a result of a long-term cooperative path.

Politicians analysts attribute the reasons  to get away in the Iraqi-Arab relations and who emphasize the importance of  its return, including sectarian reason    that the Shiite  Arabs  are governed Iraq after the year 2003. There are those who saw the reason to stay away is the Iranian variable in the  general Iraqi scene in terms that  the Iranian regime was able to tighten its  influence  on  Iraq and then cancel or  confront any role in it. While there is a third opinion attributes the reason to move away to the political division witnessed by Iraq since April / May 2003, to prevent making a unified foreign policy to defend the supreme interests of the country noting that it has become for  each of the components  a friend or friends in the regional and international  environment ,  to rely on its support in certain  times  according to its interests before the interests of Iraq. The absence of a unified   balance  Arab vision , taking  into account the complexities of the situation in Iraq, led to undermine the Arab role in Iraq, and thus lost the paper that  can be used  to balance the US hegemony and influence of regional parties. And that the preoccupation of the Arabs since 2003, talking about the American occupation, and put themselves in the position of defense of the regime of former Iraqi  President Saddam Hussein ,  raised the sensitivity of a broad spectrum of Iraqis affected by the Baath regime, at a time when the Iranian regime was  the first of countries which recognized  of  the new Iraqi regime,  and  it  still  maintains good relations with most of the political and nationalist and sectarian parties.

In short,    Haider Abadi , the Iraqi prime minister is trying  to rehabilitate the Iraqi-Arab relations, which  are the main entrance  of good relations with the Arab Gulf states, noting that he is walking on the road  in spite of the  internal , external and regional pressures  put on him to force him to revoke from  it.

Rawabet Center for  Research and Strategic Studies