D.Salim m.Alzanoon
The visit of president “Trump” to the Middle East came to impose four new variables in the Middle East in general and on the Hamas movement in particular.
First: the new variables
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1.To put Qatar under the intense pressure from the US administration, considering it from the US point of view that it constitutes a major incubator and supporter of extremist organizations, including Hamas, and the statements of the Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the US Congress to form a committee to study the imposition of sanctions on it.
2. To develop a new political approach to the peace process by US based on the three key pillars: first regional peace between Israel and the Arab states, second to develop an interim agreement in which the two sides to address ways to reach a permanent agreement that deals with the final issues and allows the establishment of an independent Palestinian state, third the declaration of both sides to ending the Israeli – Palestinian conflict.
3. To put Hamas movement in one basket with extremist organizations, in the clear equality between it and the organization of “Daesh” and al-Qaeda and Hezbollah.
4. No Arab leader has criticized or defended Hamas, not even the Palestinian president, and representatives of Qatar and Turkey, who are its main supporters, kept silent.
This indicates to two conclusions: first Hamas’s announcement about the document of principles and public policies failed to market it as a moderate movement in the international community and regional environment, and second these parties agreed to characterize it as the terrorist movement.
Second: the possible options for Hamas movement.
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In the light of the new changes, there are three options to Hamas:
First: A full return to Iran.
Under the new variables, the movement is pushed for the full convergence of the political and military wings with Iran, and to confuse the new political process.
Second: the rapid engagement in the process of reconciliation.
To come Closer to Egypt so that it works in more openness and strengthen relations with it in a continuation of steps initiated by it , taking Egypt as a gateway to transmit it for the rapprochement with the Palestinian Authority, and to reach a national reconciliation with it in the aim of influencing the political negotiations through the “back door” in an attempt to exaggerate Abbas’s demands from Israel.
Third: the military escalation.
In an attempt to confuse the scene, and disrupt any political process in the region, the movement is working on a military escalation by igniting the border in the south, and tries to carry out operations in the West Bank, and the resumption of suicide bombings inside Israel.
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies