The consequences of international conflicts are usually predictable in terms of their forms, their parties, their features, and the ones they lead or support, and in the same way, it is clear to those who oppose them, regardless of the precautions they take. The final result remains open to all, but what is happening now of the consequences and repercussions in the Iraqi arena, which is undoubtedly the product of the new regional conflict, which is managed by two conflicting parties that are ideologically contradictory – although they are close in terms of their destructive potential, regardless of which is stronger than the other, especially when Psychometric measures are becoming useless in such measurements , because whatever the results will be , they are disastrous for the two conflicting parties first, and for everyone in their spatial – regional and even international – or intellectual or ideological environment , everyone is a loser in the end.
And if we drop this introduction on what is going on and what is expected to happen in Iraq, coincide with the current global regional conflict that is trying to redraw the map of the new Middle East according to requirements that may become clear before the end of the conflict or at least with its first end led by two contradictory ideology totally , one of them is capitalist western represented in the United States of America, and the other a reactionary , Mullah representative in the Republic of Iran, we find that this conflict between these two arch-rivals takes non-traditional forms, whether in forms or content , and the reasons that imposed this diversity in forms and contiguity Lies in the multilateralism of parties that are pro and anti- two sides in Iraq in particular , and in the region in general.
This is where the Rawabet Center for Strategic Research and Studies concentrates more on the issue and goes deeply into the widest possible extent in the analysis and indication on what is mentioned above. It begins with the end of events today within the Iraqi arena, which is meant to redraw the political, geographical and even demographic scene in Iraq, according to the requirements of a stage that Iraq has nothing to do with it. Rather, but it is required that Iraq to be an arena for a war on its soil , as reliable sources said that three Katyusha rockets targeted the Iraqi Taji base on Monday evening, 17 June 2019 , preceded by several targets for many Iraqi strategic locations we will refer to later.
Here are several questions arise , most notably: Why this specific targeting of the Iraqi Taji base itself and specifically in this period? What messages does this targeting have? Who is the main beneficiary of this targeting?
Because the answer to these questions carries many risks, we will resort to the narrative answer contained in the context of events in chronological order, including shocking figures reveal the clear facts and unquestionable, the Iraqi Taji base is the largest military base of Iraq, as well as being the largest military bases In the Middle East in terms of size and equipment, including the NATO institutions, where there are varied US forces and helicopters , and includes various Iraqi bases, including various types of helicopters, and various aircraft of the Iraqi army, and also the Iraqi air defense base and it includes the Iraqi military training centers, as well as large military institutions, on the one hand, and the other is the base of the Taji very close to Baghdad, so targeting it means to target the prestige of the Iraqi state on the one hand, and sends messages to several parties carrying multiple contents most notably the reference to the arms of Iran – in Iraq in particular – able to penetrate the American shield, and impose a new equation to restore Iran’s international prestige, on the one hand, and to achieve the Iranian exit from the current predicament even with less possible losses on the other hand.
This conclusion is supported by several strategic targets within Iraqi territory, which were characterized by the targeting of Balad base by four Katyusha rockets a few days ago. The base, which is no less strategic importance than the Taji base in all that it contains or includes, preceded by the missile attack on the US Embassy and the missile bombing occurred on the important strategic side of Baghdad International Airport, and the subsequent Iraqi official statements that the Iraqi forces discovered several missile bases from which these attacks are being launched against the aforementioned bases , which in turn bears a balance of the US-Iran conflict , but the essence of it is no more than trying to engage Iraq into a war that it will be the biggest loser in it. Moreover, Iraq, as well as Iraq and because of the repeated targeting of its bases and its military arsenal, is suffering heavy financial losses, as well as keeping it vulnerable to terrorism, extremism and instability.
And the return to the Iraqi reactions, at the level of alliances or blocs or parties or groups or individuals, and most of them – except those proven to be loyal to Iran – confirms that the targeting of the bases and strategic sites within Iraqi territory, and regardless of who, the first is targeting military capabilities of Iraq, and attempts to create security holes will be exploited by terrorism, and will achieve gains against the Iraqi people, as happened in 2014 , the invasion of the terrorist organization ISIS to Mosul and other areas estimated one-third of Iraq, and secondly is the denial and ungrateful for the US troops, the main partner who stood by with Iraq in its war against terrorism and its defeat, and the cleansing of all Iraqi territory of its drowning and its recurrence, and no one denies only the ungrateful that the American forces were able to eliminate the most powerful terrorists and their tyrants, and they were the main partner of Iraq in maintaining its security, sovereignty, unity and stability., despite the anomalous voices that try to minimize the importance of US-Iraqi partnership, and try to engage Iraq in a war that is not its war and not in its interest.
Political Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies