A strong feeling of the Iranian regime is growing that it has become a rising military power within the traditional world powers and that it is to give Iran the full “right” to establish military bases outside its territory that reflects the new military status of it and the beginning will be initiated by using the territory of the Arab countries that have explicitly announced that it is now controlled the decision-making circles in the four countries of it .
In this context, the head of Iran’s Chief of Staff, Major General Mohammad Bagheri announced on this November 26 , that his country is moving toward “building of naval bases on the coast of Syria and Yemen, to meet the need of the Iranian fleet of far bases “, and added: « we relinquished about our nuclear strength and we compensate it now in building a naval force that will give us greater value, a military fleet in the Sea of Oman and the other fleet in the Indian Ocean, and build naval bases on the coasts or islands in Yemen and Syria, and the development of our military intelligence through the drone aircrafts ( unmanned aircraft) in our Naval extensions ».
the statement of the Iranian Chief of Staff is not identical with his justification that the objective of the maritime military project is the counter-piracy in the seas, because the Iran’s maritime trade is limited when compared to other countries such as India and the Gulf, Egypt and others that use these corridors outside the waters of the Gulf. Also the piracy does not exist in the Sea of Oman and in the Mediterranean. Whether this statement such as intimidation or reflect the new Iranian alternative strategy for nuclear project, which bowed to Western pressure and retreated about it in exchange for the lifting of sanctions, the new Iranian thinking, which followed the signing of the nuclear deal, is military superiority, not economic openness, as the US administration thought, and promoting for it in its mentioning the benefits of the nuclear deal.
In fact, this announcement reveals the intention of the Iranian regime’s intention to build military bases on the coast of Syria, in conjunction with the control of the Iraqi Popular Crowd Forces, loyal to it, over areas on the outskirts of Tal Afar, northwest of Iraq in the province of Nineveh, and reveals about the completion of the Iranian plan to create a strategic land corridor , which runs through Iraq, then northeastern Syria to Aleppo and Homs, and ends with the port of Latakia on the Mediterranean. As the town of Tal Afar is very important issue for the Iranian regime because of its geographical location, which makes it as a central way station to ensure the continuation of access of physical equipment and human crowds coming from Iran to Syria, and are secured more than others because of its demographics, where some of its population of Turkomen follows the Shiite sect . Therefore, the claim that the aim of the control of the town by the popular crowd is to prevent al Daesh to escape to Syria does not seem convincing observers.
Syria and Yemen, is the gateway to the policy of the Iranian expansion in the Levant, which may be an introduction to expand in the western parts as well, the Iranian military presence does not need evidence to the contrary from the Iranian military presence in Yemen, which the Iranian regime is trying to hide from everyone and this is what the Iranian regime does not succeed , According to information obtained by the Rawabet Center for research and strategic Studies indicate that information about the existence of three hundred and fifty element of the Iraqi Popular crowd in Yemen and their task is to guard the Iranian special forces, especially the geophysical elements that includes rocket sector and experts of Scud missiles and generals of war and specialists with the bombings, and the presence of those in Yemen enabled the Houthis of use strategic missiles against the territory of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and perhaps the most important of these missiles, ballistic missile launched by militia al-Huthi on October 28 of this year to the direction of Makkah region, and it was intercepted by the Arab coalition forces supporting constitutional legitimacy in Yemen.
Iranian regime aims to create a Navy military bases in Syria to have an active presence on the eastern Mediterranean Sea near Turkey, Europe and Yemen over its presence near the Strait of Bab al-Mandab as this announcement is intended to respond to the establishment of Turkey a military base in Qatar in December 2015 , noting that the Turkey’s gains of this base are numerous , on the political side the military base will enhance Turkey’s status as an ally among Arab allies can be relied upon, and will strengthen its position also to the United States that wish to be shared by an ally like Turkey in the burdens of Arab Gulf security .
On the military side: Turkish military base include the land, sea and air force and special forces apparently in addition to the trainers of the qatari army, which would allow to Turkey to show its military equipment and marketing of tanks “Altai” and howitzer guns of a self-propelled model “Firtina” and other weapons of Turkish-made. As it will opens the door in front of the Turkish military industry to enter into the markets of the Gulf where the Gulf states are the most consuming countries in military defense, which will bring profits to Turkey in that market. To sat to the great powers such as Russia, China, France and England. “I’m also here.” The base also would provide the Turkish army of the way of training in the desert lacking of it currently, allowing the Turkish Naval Forces to perform the anti-piracy operations and other operations in the Arabian Gulf, Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea and the base may form the center of the future Turkish operations of overseas, and may predict for the Turkish Navy return to the Indian Ocean for the first time since the fifties of the sixteenth century.
Saudi Arabia sees it as a step in strengthening Saudi Qatari Turkish alliance on the Syrian crisis and to counter Iran’s influence in the region. While it considered from the Iranian viewpoint as a hostile move by Turkey, and reference to its bias to the Sunni Gulf countries. This base in the event of any war in the Gulf may be an Iranian target. Which means the access to the brinkmanship.
According to political and military analysts , they believe that it is difficult to establish these naval bases in Yemen and Syria at this time, specifically, because its creation requires that its rulers and peoples to be of Allies and actually being able to make a serious decision of allowing to the Iranian regime to devote the occupation and the establishment of military bases there. They stress that the Iranian regime is still in front of the barriers and numerous contraindications in order to be able to achieve such precise details at the Grand Imperial dream , and that the statement of “Bagheri” about the bases in Yemen and Syria is a speech for propaganda because it exceeds the fact that Yemen and Syria will not be abandoned states to it whether by the strong response of Syrians, Yemenis and their Arab allies, to such exaggerations or due to the overlapping of interests of the major powers in these two Arab countries and across the region.
Analysts added that the Iranian regime was able to intervene in Syria and Yemen to deepen the sectarian divide and spark further of chaos there but nothing shows that the way to control them due to the presence of a majority of vast Syrians and Yemenis who firmly rejects the Iranian interference and is ready to fight them to the end. As the International Working Group, in turn, it would be a strong barrier in front of the Iranian regime to execute such hazardous expansionist plans noting that neither the Russians would allow Iran competing on its interests in Russia nor the United States would allow the existence of it on a distance close to its Israeli ally.
In conclusion , the military operations of the Iranian regime in Iraq and Syria stress that the stage of wars have become its new policy, and to strengthen its military capabilities represents a cornerstone of its foreign policy. Trying to be the dominant power to expand geographically in the sea and land , since Iran became unrestricted to the west’ embargo due to the nuclear agreement with the major countries in the international community , and has the potential of international trade and the use of global currency “The dollar .” This may means that we are facing a decade of regional arms race, and more military adventures in the region.
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies