Dr. Abdullah Mohammed Al – Sheikh
Translated by : mudhaffar al-kusairi
What worries the world these days more than the American-Iranian conflict? All , whether they are states, coalitions, entities, parties, groups or individuals , they look at this conflict from the pragmatic angles in which they were put in , and by studying scientifically , objectively and impartially in the contradictions and convergences of these angles , the real intentions of this conflict are clarified and its repercussions are revealed , and the blurry disappears from its potential consequences , or close to logic , according to deep political readings based on irrefutable evidence.
But before we go into the nature of this conflict, its causes, and its hidden consequences, we should ask a number of questions that can be read in the answers to the facts behind all that is going on. The most important of these questions are: What is the reality of an American-Iranian conflict? What are the real causes of this conflict, if they exist? Who benefits from a US-Iranian conflict? What are the possible scenarios for this conflict? And to where will lead the growing escalation between them ? And who are the real parties? How and when will it end?
In order to be more objective, we will remain neutral. We will allow facts to be told. We will move freely between the past, the present and the future, according to the nature of this complex and thorny subject, hoping to uncover the hidden truths for the public opinion.
We will start from the point that some believe to be the turning point in the natural course of the relationship between the Western and Eastern allies , the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran, many of whom believe that the moment of its creation was the moment when the Islamic Revolution was born in Iran in 1979 and here I do not think we will shock the world, when we say that the Islamic revolution in Iran would not have happened or succeeded without American support and the blessing of the US administration, and the majority of specialists in political affairs are aware of this proposition, as they realize that the US administration deals with all its customers without exception just like the treatment of medicines in terms of its validity , abandoning the most sincere customers in the date it specifies for their expiry, regardless of the length of time that makes them – their customers – typical clients fit for longer periods. This is the American policy that has been characterized and distinguished for decades. Here a question may arise: Why does the US administration change its customers to other agents who were loyal to its agendas? The answer is very simple: the US administration favors its own self-interest, and preferring it to any other interests, as well as the US administration has a vague and volatile policy apparently , but the specialist or examiner in its essence , notes that it is a one-way policy , even its paths are multiple and varied that it is diversified, paying all its attention to the best interest of America, according to the famous saying ” After me , the deluge”.
Here is the answer to the reasons for the transformation of the United States of America to the regime in Iran, but an unexpected transformation for many people who are not deeply in American politics, especially when looking at the great difference between the two successive ideologies of governance in Iran, The expired regime , the Persian empire of the dictatorship represented by the Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, and the new regime with validity , the reactionary regime , the governance of Mullahs in Tehran. , thus the supreme interest of the United States requires, and necessitates, this great and contradictory transformation, The apparent causes of this transformation are many and varied, the most important of which is to deceive the world that the United States is a liberal democratic state that supports democracies in the Third World and supports liberal movements in it, which is essentially one currency and that carries two different faces. The most important characteristic of these two faces is the supreme American interest. Any one who has any doubts about this proposal , he can go back to documents leaked by the White House a few years ago that reveal undoubtedly that senior officers in the Pentagon were the most prominent persons who were wearing Mullahs clothes and led the Islamic revolution in Iran, while Khomeini was preparing behind the Hollywood scenes – Paris branch –to be the coming legendary hero with his liberal project that accompanied its first creation moments , the first fabricated crisis required by the dramatic scenario drawn by the White House as part of its strategies of persuasion , represented by the famous incident in the storming of the US Embassy in Tehran, and the Dramatic crises and stories have deceived many of those who have there at that time , and here lies the skill of the White House in the practice of tricks and persuasive strategies.
But what is the benefit the administration is trying to achieve from all this? The answer is very simple. The Shah’s regime, though it was a regime that loyal to the US administration, it was no longer fulfills the pragmatic objectives it seeks to achieve, while the coming Mullahs regime will meet its objectives , as this new regime in Tehran is inexperienced in managing the country on the one hand, and needs the support of the United States, although it is a hidden support on the other hand, and it gives the US administration the opportunity to blackmail , that the US administration has been distinguished in it in its long history , whether in East Asia, or in south America , or in Eastern Europe, or in other countries, and here blackmail embodies the US administration goals better and much more important than what was achieved by subordination.
More directly, it is possible to return to the same year in which the Islamic Revolution was taken place in Iran, the same year that Iran had engaged in a futile war with Iraq for eight years, cost the two parties a lot of material and human losses, and Iran emerged exhausting in all respects. The biggest winner of this war is the United States, the world’s largest arms manufacturer and exporter, by selling arms to the two warring parties for the eight years.
When the American administration felt that its game was probably revealed , and that it created a new ghoul that could blackmail the Gulf countries in particular, the countries of the region in general, and the international community in more general , it had mislead the world that the ghoul will swallow everyone and has a reactionary expansion project. Which is contrary to the countries of the region ideologically and intellectually, here the American policy has decided to change its course according to the need, especially after the end of the Iran-Iraq war, which was ignited by the American administration. After measuring the results of that war, and estimating that Iran emerged from it completely exhausted, America decided to change the players in the region and adapted the dramatic scenario which was drawn by it since years ago , this adaption includes the major players in the region and changed the masks, it wore the mask of the Ghoul, which became more dangerous to the region and the world and Iraq from Iran , and hit two birds with one stone, where it has diverted the region and the world with a new danger which is the regime of Saddam Hussein in Iraq, and adopted the leadership in the elimination of it, and it is not hidden for everyone of the material gains achieved by the US administration of this step, the step that coincided and parallel with the golden opportunity given by US to the Tehran regime in the to take advantage from this step to a more serious redeployment, which gave him the time he needed to raise its blackmail ceiling in the future and when necessary, during the years from 1988 until 2003, when the US administration drew attention to Iraq and turned a blind eye On Iran, which gave the latter – Iran – the opportunity – under the supervision of USA to re-spread in the region to be the greatest danger that America will raise to the world when it decided to, and that is what happened, as the regime in Tehran resorted , during the world’s preoccupation with fighting the regime of Saddam Hussein , to rebuilding itself , planting his arms in many Countries, especially in Syria, Iraq, Bahrain and Yemen.
When the world realized the falsity of American claims that Saddam Hussein’s regime had any chemical or nuclear weapons, and that it was too late, the Tehran regime followed in the footsteps of the American Hollywood scenario, which Iraq was handed over to Tehran on a plate of gold, according to pragmatic calculations of United States.
Here, undoubtedly ,the US administration has once again turned its attention to the Iranian ghoul, whose threat grew as the United States and the world engaged in fighting Saddam , they thought Saddam’s regime in Iraq was more dangerous than Iran , to return to a new form , more ferocious , a greater danger than previously , and gives it greater opportunities – the US administration – to blackmail the countries of the region materially and morally, through the proceeds of sales to them in terms of armaments contracts, or through the collection of large sums of money in return for providing protection to the sovereignty of those countries from the ambitions of the new Iranian Ghoul who is originally the fruit planted by USA in the area.
According to the requirements of the stage, and in order to ensure the US administration to achieve its objectives within the geography of the Middle East, which saw the most important treasure to generate wealth, it has created the crises and differences between it and the regime of Tehran, a regime that shows unprecedented hostility to the Zionist entity, which in secret is the last regimes that it poses a real threat to Israel’s security , while it is posing a threat to the region, especially after it succeeded, with the help of the United States, to plant militias loyal to it in the region , the goal is the same , to blackmail the region by USA , exploits it at a time when its validity has been determined , then terminate it and moving to create another risk in the region, enabling it to achieve substantial material gains.
Based on the above, the answer to the last question we asked at the beginning of the study, how and when the American-Iranian conflict ends, can be found, and the answer is simpler than one might think. There are no possible military confrontations, at least for the time being, as long as this conflict still allows the United States to exercise Blackmail the countries of the region.
While the US scenario designer decides that he should change the dramatic course and turn his attention to a new regional or international enemy, then, he will decide how and when the Iranian ghoul will end, and its end may not be far from the end of Saddam Hussein’s regime in Iraq.
We are patient and wait for the completion of the part of American-Iranian conflict in the American film, which its scenes are still being photographed, but everyone should know that there are no real military confrontations expected between the two sides. All this is a Hollywood film made with distinction.
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Political Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies