The Arab countries are exposed to a number of crises in their eastern wing that affect their present and future, as well as the regional and international economy and security, and because the Arab Mashreq is an essential part of the Middle East environment, which has been and continues to be of geostrategic importance at the global level , therefore the influential countries in the global system such as the USA and the Russian Federation, both Unilaterally and bilaterally, to find appropriate solutions to those crises.
Hence the tripartite security summit came , which brought together Russia, Israel and the United States in occupied Quds , which brought together for the first time national security advisors , Israeli adviser, Meir Ben Shabat, his Russian counterpart Nikolai Petrushev and US national security adviser John Bolton. The summit achieved an important breakthrough. in terms of making permanent solutions to many files in the Syrian case, first and foremost the Iranian presence, which has become a strong negotiating card in the hands of Russians with the Americans, especially the participant in the mapping of the Middle East, in which Russia is trying to consolidate its interests after becoming the most important player in the arena of Syria.
Israeli analysts agree that the tripartite summit in Israel, in conjunction with the Bahrain Economic Summit, the military escalation in the Arabian Gulf and the imposition of further US sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program are an achievement for Israeli diplomacy and the strengthening of its international and regional standing, in terms of its success in bringing together Russian and American interests in line with Israeli national security.
According to special information obtained by the Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies, the summit was based on a negotiation process that is similar to the political bargaining, It is the departure of the Iranian forces and their loyalists from Syria, in exchange for supporting Bashar al-Assad, the abolition of international sanctions against Syria and ensuring Russian interests on the Mediterranean, and to ensure the Iranian role in Syria in full.
In the midst of tension between Washington and Tehran, the summit of the Group OF twenty (G20) WILL BE HELD ON Osaka , Japan , on Friday and Saturday , and according to information obtained by Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies , US President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin are due to meet on the sidelines of the summit, The meeting will be of great importance, as the meeting will focus on maintaining Israel’s security, which is important for them, and the proof for that is the choice of occupied Quds to hold the tripartite security meeting is to confirm whether from Washington or Moscow on the regional role, status and importance of Israel and the meeting will focus on Syria, and the Iranian influence in it and the military developments in the Arabian Gulf.
In a tweet published on Monday, US President Donald Trump told other countries that import oil from the Gulf region, such as China and Japan, that they have to protect the oil shipments they buy from the countries of the region, a sign from him – ie Trump – who calls for an alliance between countries which have oil interests in the Arabian Gulf, to protect its interests from any Iranian threat, as Trump aims from this alliance to end Iranian influence.
According to special information received by the Rawabet Center , any new Iranian attack on US interests, Trump will respond strongly, because the non-response will embarrass Trump in front of his voters, as he prepares for the upcoming US presidential elections.
Washington and Tel Aviv recognize that ending Iran’s influence in the Arab Mashreq is not easy, but they seek to end it in certain places, and to reduce it and relocate it elsewhere, such as the quadripartite agreement “Russia, Syria, Iraq and Iran,” based in Baghdad, but Russia has the upper hand in this agreement, as It manages and run the agreement not Iran, Where the next Astana conference moves in this direction. Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon and the United Nations are expected to participate as observers. Russia, Iran and Turkey will give guarantees to both the opposition and the Syrian regime based on the resolutions of the Conference.
There is no doubt that all the crises in the region will be on the table of the expected meeting in Japan between Putin and Trump , to find a common consensus between them, to maintain the stability of the region in line with the interests of their respective countries.
The question that arises in this context… Who will need the other: Putin needs to Trump or vice versa, or they need each other equally, and this is more likely.
The bottom line is that the region, if we may compare it to the living being , we say: the eyes of region are heading towards the summit and heart beat accelerates in anticipation of it .
International Studies Unit
Rawabet Center for Research and Strategic Studies